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Sep 28

ClawProBench: Trace-Aware Evaluation of AI Agents with Runtime Coverage and Frozen Workplace-Style Holdouts

Agent benchmarks often evaluate only final answers even when agents run on stateful runtimes. We argue this under-specifies what is being evaluated: the proper unit is a declared model-plus-runtime configuration whose failures can occur in evidence acquisition, runtime routing, safety boundaries, or repeated execution. We present ClawProBench, a trace-aware benchmark for runtime-native agent evaluation instantiated on OpenClaw, a live agent runtime with workspace tools and native surfaces for browsing, memory, messaging, scheduling, skills, and subagents. ClawProBench defines two tracks: a 102-scenario full profile with live workspace and native-runtime routing tasks, and a frozen 68-scenario holdout with closed-world JSON output contracts for robust ranking. Trials are scored from execution traces via a safety-gated formula combining correctness, process quality, and efficiency, preserving failure evidence for audit. Our anonymous artifact includes benchmark definitions, scoring code, manifests and sanitized traces. We evaluate 68 configurations on the full profile and 37 on holdout. The top safety-gated average trace score is 0.7671. Native-runtime tasks underperform workspace-live tasks (0.5238 vs. 0.6415). On holdout, pass@k-any outperforms strict three-trial pass (0.6638 vs. 0.2890), while full-profile and holdout rankings show weak alignment (Spearman 0.1300). Rankings based purely on correctness differ substantially from process-aware, safety-gated and strict-pass views. Final-answer leaderboards may hide native-surface weaknesses, one-off successes and trace-local agent failure modes.

  • 1 authors
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Aug 22 3

Loreley: Repository-Scale Program Evolution with Quality-Diversity Search

Sequential agent search accumulates changes from its current champion but discards alternative branches; independent proposals preserve breadth but restart from the root. Loreley instead retains complete repository states in a Quality-Diversity (QD) archive and samples them as parents or supplies them as context for later edits. Candidates are Git commits produced in isolated worktrees and judged by a project-supplied evaluator. We compare configured Loreley QD, sequential champion editing, and independent root proposals in a matched Zstandard experiment: seven paired blocks and 48 physical candidate jobs per policy and block (1,008 total), with root-only initialization and each policy's native concurrency. Validation selected a winner at each budget checkpoint; an agent-hidden holdout measured the fixed candidate. At 48 jobs, QD was 0.135% below Sequential Champion (95% BCa interval for the paired effect: -0.556% to +0.161%) and 0.320% above Independent Root (-0.082% to +0.686%). Neither contrast established a QD advantage; Sequential had the highest observed 48-job mean and median. Archive retention and later sampling did occur. Four of seven final QD winners had a non-incumbent state in their primary-parent ancestry under a retrospective one-incumbent rule applied only to the observed QD stream. Including inspiration edges raised the count to six, without showing that supplied context caused an edit. Three earlier capability campaigns produced generation-4, multi-file improvements in two Python libraries and a separate Zstandard revision. Loreley engaged the intended stepping-stone mechanism, but the controlled experiment did not show an endpoint benefit at 48 jobs.

  • 1 authors
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Aug 19

When "Must" Becomes "Maybe": Constraint Weakening in LLM Agent Workflows

Large language model (LLM) agents coordinate complex tasks through multi-role and multi-stage workflows. Upstream state is repeatedly transformed into intermediate language artifacts, such as summaries, plans, tickets, memories, and handoff notes, from which downstream components act. For action-constraining state, topical retention is insufficient: an artifact may mention an unresolved condition while changing it from a requirement that must be resolved before execution into information that may merely inform the next action. We study this action-binding role as operational state preservation. Safety blockers provide a controlled instance because each source state has an explicit prerequisite, authority, fallback, and execution consequence. We condition on correct upstream identification, vary the handoff transformation, and evaluate an executor restricted to the resulting artifact. Across 1,296 controlled synthetic episodes, direct-handoff controls preserve every blocker, whereas compression, plan assimilation, convergence, ownership deferral, and precedent substitution repeatedly turn binding state into caveats or non-binding considerations. Normal handoff compression produces 100.0% deactivation and 54.2% forbidden action. Restoring all four state fields raises preservation to 100.0% and reduces forbidden action to 0.0%. Fixed-artifact interventions further separate preservation from containment: downstream verification eliminates forbidden action while artifact deactivation remains 95.3%. These results identify a state-transmission failure between information extraction and action. Handoff transformations can retain state content while weakening its constraints on downstream action. Semantic availability does not guarantee operational preservation.

  • 6 authors
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Aug 24 2

A Taxonomy of Event-Linked Perpetual Futures: Variant Designs Beyond the Single-Market Binary Case

Paper 1 of this research programme develops a resolution-aware risk-design framework for the simplest event-linked perpetual: a contract whose underlying tracks a single binary prediction-market probability through resolution. The instrument class is broader. Variants span conditional probabilities P(A|B), spreads p^A - p^B, weighted baskets sum w_i p^(i), derivatives on variance or entropy of the probability process, contracts on liquidity itself, perpetual-on-expiring-event roll structures, and funding-only derivatives with no settlement. Each variant inherits some framework components from the single-market binary case and requires its own design adaptations. This paper develops a formal taxonomy of seven pure-form canonical variants beyond the probability-index perpetual of Paper 1, organised along four orthogonal design axes: underlying geometry, temporal structure, settlement structure, and venue composition. The list is not exhaustive; combinations are not treated separately. For each variant we provide a precise payoff definition; an inheritance map identifying which Paper 1 components carry over, are modified, or fail; variant-specific design constraints; microstructure properties; empirical evaluability on the PMXT v2 archive; and limitations. Notable findings: the conditional variant admits a candidate non-portability proposition (denominator instability as the conditioning event becomes improbable); the spread variant requires a three-channel decomposition of resolution risk; the volatility/entropy variant avoids random binary terminal-collapse but introduces estimator-convention and entropy-decay issues; the basket variant requires multi-period jump-aware margin whose aggregation is correlation-dependent. The paper is theoretical primarily; it specifies how demonstrative time series can be constructed and provides evaluability criteria to guide future work.

  • 1 authors
·
May 10

Why Git Is the Memory Solution for the Agentic Development Lifecycle

Coding agents now produce a growing share of a team's code, while the reasoning behind each change -- the alternatives weighed, the constraints discovered, the approaches rejected -- is trapped in assistant transcripts that vanish with the session. Memory for this setting, the agentic development lifecycle (ADLC), is usually posed as one retrieval problem and built as machinery: tiered stores, memory graphs, compiled wikis, model-judged admission. We argue memory should instead be git-bound -- built into the repository's version control, inheriting the guarantees the machinery struggles to construct: ground truth from commits, freshness from rebuild, verification from the merge, containment from review. On this ledger we solve two problems separately, then combine them. Seed supply is closed as an eight-corpus retrieval study under a pre-registered ship discipline: five imported ranking mechanisms rejected, two kept, and a best configuration of ~0.31 pooled MRR -- ~60x the raw-transcript grep floor, ~15x an honest parsed-turn floor. Answer assembly is where ranking stops helping: single-shot retrieval scores only 0.07-0.20 answer-sufficiency on real developer questions, and ungated episode injection measurably degrades good answers. A router dispatches breadth to a git-anchored structural map, pointed lookups to confidence-gated episodes, and rationale to decision synthesis, which reconstructs why-arcs no single session contains (0.83 sufficiency on a young ~50k-LOC production system). Routed, the system answers at 382-980 tokens per question -- three orders of magnitude below the recorded history. Because ground truth is mined from commit-session links rather than annotated, every result is replicable on any user's own history at zero labeling cost. The remaining constraint is capture. Code, benchmark, and paper source: github.com/rekal-dev/rekal-cli.

  • 1 authors
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Jul 14

Delegation Rights: Property, Agency, and Investment Incentives in the Age of AI Agents

AI agents increasingly operate inside digital accounts by exercising privileges that users already hold, raising a new control question: whether an existing account entitlement must be exercised manually or may be exercised through a user-authorized automated proxy. We define delegation rights as the revocable, identity-preserving, scope-limited, and mode-specific authority of an account holder to authorize such proxy execution. We develop a three-party incomplete-contracts model with a User, an AI Agent provider, and a Platform. The contested object is not platform ownership, account transferability, data portability, or unrestricted API access, but residual control over the mode of account execution. Under Platform Control, the platform can protect infrastructure, identity systems, privacy boundaries, and third parties, but its discretionary veto weakens the User--Agent coalition's disagreement payoff and depresses relationship-specific investment. Under User Control, hold-up is reduced, but security, privacy, congestion, and third-party risks may remain insufficiently internalized. We then analyze Certified Delegation, under which access protection is conditional on verifiable authorization, revocability, auditability, rate-limit compliance, data minimization, and risk mitigation. Certification is therefore not merely a technical safety screen; it is a conditional allocation of residual control. Illustrative mechanism simulations show how this regime can reduce deadweight loss by restoring delegation incentives while bounding residual risk.

  • 2 authors
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Jun 29

OpenBioRQ: Unsolved Biomedical Research Questions for Agents

A working citation looks like proof -- but the fact that a link resolves does not mean the cited paper supports the claim. I find that current agentic models rarely fabricate citations (over 99% resolve), yet roughly 15.9% link to the wrong paper. Existing benchmarks miss this failure mode: when a question has a fixed answer key, a model can reproduce the expected source from that key rather than independently verifying that the source supports the claim. I introduce \openbiorq{}, a retrieval-grounded agentic benchmark of 12{,}553 unsolved biomedical research questions across 12 domains that treats open questions as a faithfulness-and-abstention probe. To my knowledge, this is the first biomedical benchmark to combine an agentic setting -- where the model must issue multiple tool calls -- with unsolved questions that have no answer key. Openness is verified against real follow-up evidence rather than a model's parametric knowledge. Difficulty is empirical: I anchor it on questions that three open-weight reference models fail to answer, rather than on subjective hardness labels. On this hardest subset, held-out models from the same lineage as the difficulty anchors solve only ~17%, while three independent frontier agents (Gemini-3-Pro, Opus-4.7, GPT-5.5) span a wide 29-60% range. The benchmark is thus hard, non-saturating (the best agent still leaves ~33-40\% unsolved), and discriminating across capability tiers. Beyond difficulty, I observe agentic collapse on the hardest questions, where agents stop using their tools. For the most collapse-prone model, blocking tool access entirely barely changes its score -- so tools stop paying off exactly where they are needed most. A frozen per-question checklist raises inter-judge agreement from Spearman 0.35 to 0.82.

  • 1 authors
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Jun 19 2

Assessing the Zero-Shot Capabilities of LLMs for Action Evaluation in RL

The temporal credit assignment problem is a central challenge in Reinforcement Learning (RL), concerned with attributing the appropriate influence to each actions in a trajectory for their ability to achieve a goal. However, when feedback is delayed and sparse, the learning signal is poor, and action evaluation becomes harder. Canonical solutions, such as reward shaping and options, require extensive domain knowledge and manual intervention, limiting their scalability and applicability. In this work, we lay the foundations for Credit Assignment with Language Models (CALM), a novel approach that leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to automate credit assignment via reward shaping and options discovery. CALM uses LLMs to decompose a task into elementary subgoals and assess the achievement of these subgoals in state-action transitions. Every time an option terminates, a subgoal is achieved, and CALM provides an auxiliary reward. This additional reward signal can enhance the learning process when the task reward is sparse and delayed without the need for human-designed rewards. We provide a preliminary evaluation of CALM using a dataset of human-annotated demonstrations from MiniHack, suggesting that LLMs can be effective in assigning credit in zero-shot settings, without examples or LLM fine-tuning. Our preliminary results indicate that the knowledge of LLMs is a promising prior for credit assignment in RL, facilitating the transfer of human knowledge into value functions.

  • 7 authors
·
Sep 19, 2024